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UM E-Theses Collection (澳門大學電子學位論文庫)

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Title

Linkages between the US and three Asian stock markets

English Abstract

Stock market is considered a very important part of the financial sector and the whole economy. Throughout these years, on one hand, the world economy has experienced phenomenal growth and development; on the other hand, financial crises have appeared more frequently. Unlike the 1997 Asian financial crisis or 1998 Russian crisis before, in the 21st century, the crisis that this thesis concerned about started from the world’s largest economy the US1 . The US subprime mortgage crisis has rapidly spread throughout the whole world and left serious influences. The thesis mainly examines how the economic crisis originated from the US stock market spread by contagion to other foreign markets and how the interdependence relationship between the US and three Asian stock markets, Chinese, Japanese and Hong Kong markets change in response to this crisis. The empirical results showed that both in the short-term and long-term, the US stock market have great positive effect on the Hong Kong market and this effect would become both statistically and economically greater during crisis. Besides, in the long-term, the Hong Kong stock market showed effect back to the US market as well. However, the case with China is much different from that of Hong Kong. In the short-run, there is no evidence showing that the US stock market has effect on the Chinese market, but in the long-run, the US stock market left negative effect on it and this effect would be economically reduced when during and after the crisis. For the relationship between the US and Japan, in the short-run, the US stock market does have effect on the Japanese market before crisis but this effect is ambiguous and when during and after the crisis, this effect would become positive effect. In the long-run, like the case of that of with Hong Kong and China, the Japanese stock market also left a negative effect to the US market before the crisis. However, there is no evidence show such relationship still exist during and after crisis. Following the empirical result, some suggestions are given.

Issue date

2013.

Author

Ye, Jia

Faculty

Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities

Department

Department of Economics

Degree

M.Soc.Sc.

Subject

Financial crises -- United States

Stock exchanges -- China

Stock exchanges -- Hong Kong

Stock exchanges -- Japan

Supervisor

廖振華

Files In This Item

TOC & Abstract

Full-text (Intranet only)

Location
1/F Zone C
Library URL
991001973039706306